**GPX PREDICTIONS CONTEST 2007** Rules - discussion -ScoreTable

Posted by dada 
Hello ( again ) mates

My Real name is Anthony.

I am moderator at the Greek forum Division of the Formula One Supporters Association (F.O.S.A.). This is the 4th year that we have a prediction contest at our Greek Forum.

GPx is a grate site – forum and IMO can (or must) have a prediction contest for the members.
The contest has a lot of fun (and Fans).

I propose to settle the contest at the gpx forum also and I offer some of my spare time to moderate this (if you want). I have all the Excel files that allow the calculation of the members’ points. This needs 1 hour for me every 15 days, which is something that I will be happy to do it.

Here is the Contest. (Please read carefully)

PREDICTION CONTEST CHAMPIONSHIP 2007

Each of your prediction must have :

-Prediction for the top 8 finishers at the F1 race
- Prediction for the driver who gets the pole position
- Prediction for the pole position lap time
- Prediction for the Driver who will make the fastest lap at the race
- Prediction for the fastest lap time at the race



HOW THE POINTS CONFERMENT GOES

for the top 8 race drivers
- 4 points for each driver that is at the right position
- 2 points for each driver that is +-1 position away from right one
- 1 point for each Driver that is at the top 8 but he is more than 1 position away from the right one

For the Pole position and the fastest lap

DRIVERS

- 1 point if you predict right the poleman
- 1 point if you predict right the driver that will make the fastest lap

TIME

- 0.5 to 1.5 points if you predict with declination +-500 ms ( 0.500 sec ) the lap time of the pole position
- 0.5 to 1.5 points if you predict with declination +-500 ms ( 0.500 sec ) the fastest lap time of the race

The “time points” use a “analog way” of points conferment. The closer the member predict the time the more points he get

The “math type” the gives the time points is :

TP = 1.5 – I MPT – RT I *0.002

TP : Time Points
MPT : Member Prediction Time
RT : Right time

I MPT – RT I : the always positive time difference ( no matter if the time difference is a positive or a negative number )

The member gets points from this section IF AND ONLY his time prediction has less than +-500 ms ( 0.500 sec ) time difference from the Pole of Fastest Pace lap time

RULES

1. The driver’s name must be written with his name initial

( example RS for Ralf Schumacher , FA for Fernando Alonso )

2. The lap time of the pole position lap time and the Fastest lap time at the race must be written in seconds:milliseconds NOT AT minutes:seconds:milliseconds

( wrong : 1 min 12 sec 408 ms ----> Right : 72408 ms )

3. The member must do his prediction in one post

4. YOU MUST POST THE F1 2007 SEASON TEAM THAT YOU ARE SUPPORTER AT YOUR FIRST POST IN THE CONTEST.

( ex. Team Supporter : Ferrari )

If by your sign is obvius that’s your favorite F1 2007 season team … thnx

Don’t forget …there is a “manufactures” championship also.

5. YOU CAN EDIT YOUR POST as times you want BUT you can do this BEFORE THE START OF THE OFFICIA QUALS

6. The end of the prediction posting is the moment that the Official Qualify starts. THE MOMENT THE OFFICIAL QUALS START …no more post. I will post a thank you post for your predictions and I will take a print of them . This post will be used as a mark ... no more prediction post after this one will be accepted


7. Official results are the results that publish the [www.f1.com]

8. If an driver is replaced at the “last minute” (after a member posted his prediction ) , we accept that the new driver takes the position at the members prediction too

9. If the driver that makes the Pole time ( at the Qualify ) get a 10 position penalty ( Kimi Raikkonen – Monza 2005 ), we accept that HE is the pole man and his lap time becomes the pole position lap time

10. Me (Anthony ) or the GPx mods will start a topic 2-3 days before the race at the race week with the title “Prediction Contest 2007 : GP …. “ where the members will post their predictions ( no comments will be allowed at this topic …only predictions )

11. Me ( Anthony ) or the GPx mods will start ONE topic with the title “Prediction Contest 2007 – results , comments etc ) where you can make all your comments

12. There is NOT a winning Trophy …. We do it only for fun





Edited 5 time(s). Last edit at 04/01/2007 02:07PM by dada.
EXAMPLE FOR A PREDICTION AND POINTS CONFERMENT

Members prediction:

TOP 8:
1.FM
2.RB
3.RS
4.JPM
5.DC
6.KR
7.JT
8.FA

POLE POSITION:
FM - 85159

FASTEST LAP:
RB - 86816

Official results

1. Τakuma Sato
2. Rubens Barrichello
3. Felipe Massa
4. Giancarlo Fisichella
5. Kimi Raikkonen
6. David Coulthard
7. Ralf Schumacher
8. Fermando Alonso

Pole position : Felipe Massa – 84500
Fastest Lap : Jenson Button – 87000


How the points goes :

TOP 8 Drivers
- Drivers in the correct position : 2
( RB and FA )
Points : 2 * 4 = 8

- Drivers in +-1 position away from the right one : 2
(KR – predicted 6th – finished 5th / DC – predicted 5th – finished 6th )
Points : 2*2 = 4

- Drivers in Top 8 but more than 1 position away from the final position : 2
( FM – predicted 1st – finished 3rd / RS – predicted 3rd – finished 7th )


POLE POSITION

Prediction : FM - 85159
Pole position : FM – 84500

Right Driver prediction : 1 point
Wrong Time prediction : 0 points ( 85.159 – 84500 = 659 > +_ 500 )

FASTEST RACE LAP TIME
Prediction : RB - 86816
Fastest Lap : JB – 87000

Wrong Driver : 0 points
Right time prediction : 86816 – 87000 = - 184 < +-500 )
so the points he gets from this one is : 1.5 – 184*0.002 = 1.132

TOTAL POINTS = 8 + 4 + 2 + 1 + 1.132 = 16.134





Edited 3 time(s). Last edit at 03/15/2007 07:21PM by dada.
CHAMPIONSHIPS

We can have 3 individual championships

***Points Championship***
Each driver gets the points what become from his prediction

( so the member at the example will get 16.134 points )

Due to the “bad look” that the 3 decimal numbers gives … the results at the total board will be announced in 2 decimals ( using Microsoft’s Excell rule )

***Team Championship ***

The 2 best performances for each Team supporters members gives their points to the F1 TEAM

Example

The top 3 Ferrari fans

Member A = 12.450
Member B = 12.163
Member C = 11.505

Ferrari takes : 12.450 + 12.163 = 24.613 points

* If a F1 team is supported by ONE member , gets ONLY his points

***Position Championship ( F1 Style )***

Using the results that everyone got for his prediction we can see the top 8 performances of each race .

P1 performance gets 10 points
2nd best gets 8 points
3rd best gets 6 points … etc ( using the real F1 points system )




I have all the excel files that do all this automatically …. I also have a small excel file ( which I will upload later ) that allows each member to calculate his points .





Edited 3 time(s). Last edit at 03/15/2007 11:38AM by dada.
Nice idea, but too horrendously complicated for me, when we've got GridBids :)



K*bots UK, specialist providers of 'fun science' Curriculum Enhancement days for Primary and Secondary schools in Britain.

Please find us on [en.wikipedia.org] for more information.
The main problems in those kinds of contest is the "equal points" matter
...but in this contest the "gap scaled" points in the pole and fastest time prediction almost minimalise this problem

Also after 3-4 races there is a very little possibility for 2 members to have the sam total SuM points OF each member

some exables



Last year in brazil

[img403.imageshack.us]


here the total score board


[img105.imageshack.us]




the F1 DRIVERS POINTS SYSTEM

[img250.imageshack.us]


tHE "MANUfactures" championship

[img385.imageshack.us]





Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/08/2007 07:10PM by dada.
The members that they will take part in the contest can calculate thei points with his excel file -----> Rapidshare link


Can pls upload the file in an other server too ...

Thnx in advance





Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 03/15/2007 07:55PM by dada.
ROUND 1 - MELBOURNE - ALBERT PARK


"DRIVERS" POINTS AT THE "RACE"



[img341.imageshack.us]






"DIVERS" TOTAL CHAMPIONSHIP POINTS



[img49.imageshack.us]






"DRIVERS @ F1 STYLE POINTS"



[img442.imageshack.us]






"TEAMS @ F1 SRYLE POINTS"


[img409.imageshack.us]





Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/08/2007 07:11PM by dada.
3rd? Not bad :) I guess betting that Kimi would win, set pole and set fastest lap were the big helpers, hehe. I admit I set a grid order kind out of nowhere though...hopefully I'll get it better for next race. Should've waited for the Friday test sessions to make a prediction.
Ooo not quite last but sooo close lol ;)



Is it possible to enter the championship for malaysia?

_____________________________________________________________________________

of course ...EVERYBODY CAN ( OR ...MUST ) JOIN US

2nd, not bad, not bad......

Good to see SA doind so well :p

Thanks for the results dada, hmm I recognize one pic in those tables ;)

Thanks GP3Hotlaps
Prediction Contest - 2007 Seaso


ROUND 2 - Malaysia


"Official Results















....and dont forget ...Bahrain Race is at next week end

Well, I could never have guessed the race would be that way, so glad I could hit the nail on who would be the Top8 drivers quite well.
Man I am so bad at this! 2nd to last person who has predicted both GPs lol

Also Dada can you present the results tables as you originally did for melbourne as I cant read them even when I click on the link?







Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/08/2007 11:34PM by SexySam182.
ooh get in!

second place... :D
wooo i love this !!!!






"Trulli was slowing down like he wanted to have a picnic" LOL
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