Formula 1 is as much about riding your luck as it is about excellence, as Juan Pablo Montoya proved yesterday.
The BMW Williams was in a class of its own at Hockenheim. If anything the cars were even stronger here than at the Nurburgring and Magny Cours.
Over a 67 lap race Juan was on average a second per lap faster than the rest and that is despite the fact that he made one pit stop more than his pursuers, which added 24 seconds to his race time.
Martin and I couldn't believe it when we saw he'd done a 1m14.9s lap time mid way through the race. That is seriously fast; I mean low-fuel-qualifying fast.
He didn't put a foot wrong, but he was lucky too that the first lap crash eliminated his team mate Ralf Schumacher as well as Kimi Raikkonen and Rubens Barrichello. It made it an easier afternoon for him, as he admitted afterwards.
But that is motor racing.
When Michael got the puncture with four laps to go, you realised that it really was Montoya's lucky day. Kimi too will have breathed a sigh of relief to see Michael's yield go down from 8pts to just 2pts.
Montoya has had three non-finishes this season, which is pretty much the maximum a champion can afford. Michael meanwhile has had only one non finish, but he will hope that yesterday was the last bad luck day for him of the year.
He has had to work incredibly hard recently to get the points he's had. At Silverstone he was 14th after the priest ran on the track and the safety car came out. He climbed back from there to finish 4th.
Yesterday he was sixth on the grid and spent much of the race unable to beat the Renaults, yet still set himself up for second place until the puncture. He has now gone four grands prix - 250 racing laps - without leading!
It is therefore a very real possibility that he will lose the world title this year to Montoya and if he does it may well be this puncture that cost him the title. Six points dropped at a time when Williams and Michelin are so dominant. It is also highly likely that Williams will steal the constructors
LS's Tip of the weekESSENTIAL OILS aren't essential unless you're an engine, a gearbox or a twat