The form book has to favour Brazil, but I have a sneaking suspicion that England will surprise a lot of people this year. Here's why...
1) Almost every other major competitive nation is having issues with injuries, quarrels, old players getting the nod over talented youngsters, etc. so no-one is going to be full strength.
2) Our key asset, Wayne Rooney, is not fit. Far from killing our chances, this makes us much stronger. The rest of the team will rise to fill the gap, become closer etc. (for an example of how this works, see Ireland in the 2002 World Cup).
3) With Gerrard, Beckham and Lampard playing in midfield, we have probably the strongest midfield in the World.
Hopefully this will translate into possession, and we have a striker who is world-renowned for his ability to convert possession into goals (Michael Owen).
4) Everyone in the World, regardless of experience and knowledge, will underestimate Theo Walcott. This lad has pace that even Owen will be jealous of, and has finishing skills which rank him up there with the best. His downfall may be if he's crowded out by the defence, and if his nerves get to him.
5) The manager is leaving at the end of the tournament, but his successor is already holding a key role within the team. There is a strong sense of community and dedication in our squad. The players believe they can win, and whilst some may say this belief is misplaced, it is at least a strong weapon to carry into battle.
So I think that England have a chance at winning, and I'm not saying that simply out of hope or patriotism.
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